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BRC calls for chancellor to keep prices low

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In this episode we speak to Matt Dalton, consumer sector leader at Forvis Mazars. Matt discussed the biggest challenges facing the retail sector, from cost pressures and wage increases to polarised property markets and geopolitical shocks, and the ways in which retailers can best navigate these. We also explore how short-term cost-cutting could undermine long-term resilience, and how retailers can best remain agile and adaptable in unforecastable times.

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The BRC has called on the chancellor to keep prices low ahead of the budget as shop price growth hit its lowest rate in over three years.

Shop Price deflation was at 0.8% in October, down from deflation of 0.6% in the previous month. This is below the three-month average rate of -0.6% marking its lowest rate since August 2021.

Non-Food also remained in deflation at -2.1% in October, unchanged from the preceding month. This is below the three-month average rate of -1.9%.

Meanwhile, Food inflation slowed to 1.9% in October, down from 2.3% in September and Fresh Food inflation decelerated in October, to 1.0%, down from 1.5% in September.

Ambient Food inflation also decelerated to 3.1% in October, down from 3.3% in September, remaining at its lowest level since March 2022.

Following the figures, Helen Dickinson, chief executive of the BRC, has called on the chancellor to introduce a Retail Rates Corrector of 20% in order to help them keep prices low.

She said: “October saw shop prices fall marginally further into deflation for the third consecutive month. Food inflation eased, particularly for meat, fish and tea as well as chocolate and sweets as retailers treated customers to spooky season deals.

“In non-food, discounting meant prices fell for electricals such as mobile phones, and DIY as retailers capitalised on the recent pick-up in the housing market. With fashion sales finally turning a corner this Autumn, prices edged up slightly for the first time since January as retailers started to unwind the heavy discounting seen over the past year.”

She added: “Households will welcome the continued easing of price inflation, but this downward trajectory is vulnerable to ongoing geopolitical tensions, the impact of climate change on food supplies, and costs from planned and trailed Government regulation. Retail is already paying more than its fair share of taxes compared to other industries.

“The chancellor using tomorrow’s Budget to introduce a Retail Rates Corrector, a 20% downwards adjustment, to the business rates bills of all retail properties will allow retailers to continue to offer the best possible prices to customers while also opening shops, protecting jobs and unlocking investment.”

Mike Watkins, head of Retailer and Business Insight, NielsenIQ, said: “Inflation in the food supply chain continues to ease and this helped slow the upward pressure of shop price inflation in October, however other cost pressures remain. Consumers remain uncertain about when and where to spend and with Christmas promotions now kicking in, competition for discretionary spend will intensify in both food and non-food retailing.”

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