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Deliveroo lowers FY22 guidance amid consumer headwinds

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In this episode we speak to Matt Dalton, consumer sector leader at Forvis Mazars. Matt discussed the biggest challenges facing the retail sector, from cost pressures and wage increases to polarised property markets and geopolitical shocks, and the ways in which retailers can best navigate these. We also explore how short-term cost-cutting could undermine long-term resilience, and how retailers can best remain agile and adaptable in unforecastable times.

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Deliveroo has lowered its gross transaction value (GTV) guidance for FY22 from 15–25% to 4–12% due to a “more cautious” economic outlook and increased consumer headwinds.

Meanwhile, the company continues to expect FY22 adjusted EBITDA margin to be in the range of -1.5 to -1.8%, an improvement against -2% in FY21 and -3.2% in H2 FY21.

The lowered forecast is based on the GTV development during Q2 2022 which saw growth of 4% year-on-year. This marks a slowdown in GTV growth compared to Q1 FY22, a period that still included lockdown restrictions in many markets.

Overall, in H1 FY22, GTV was £3.56bn, an increase of 7% year-on-year. Q2 2022 saw growth in orders of 3% year-on-year, while GTV per order reduced “slightly” year-on-year, as basket sizes were elevated during lockdowns for part of Q2 FY21.

The UK and Ireland saw GTV growth of 4% in Q2 and international sales grew 1%.

Deliveroo said: “Management is confident in the company’s ability to adapt financially to a rapidly changing macroeconomic environment, through gross margin improvements, more efficient marketing expenditure and tight cost control.”

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